Commentary
Print Print

Ninepoint Energy Market Update

Ninepoint Energy Market Update - 10.31.2024
Key Takeaways
  • Trump’s energy policies and Iran sanctions may reduce Iranian exports and impact U.S. shale production.
  • OPEC+ is carefully managing production cuts to stabilize global oil supply.
  • Canada’s emissions cap likely has limited impact on oil stocks, with changes possible under a conservative government.
  • Oil inventories are low with record demand expected, but non-OPEC supply growth could pressure the market by 2025.
  • Rising oil demand from China could drive global consumption higher, impacting near-term market dynamics.

Nov 7, 2024:

In this week's update, Eric discusses the potential impact of the recent Trump presidency on global oil markets, OPEC’s upcoming decisions, and Canada’s new emissions cap. 

Key Topics:

  • Trump's Presidency & Oil Markets: The anticipated effect of Trump’s energy policies on U.S. shale production, foreign oil sources, and sanctions on Iranian oil exports.
  • Iran Sanctions: Predicted decrease in Iranian oil exports due to Trump’s strict sanctions policy, potentially tightening the global oil market.
  • OPEC+ Strategies: Insights on OPEC's recent decision to defer the return of voluntary production cuts and their approach to balancing global supply.
  • Canadian Emissions Cap: Analysis of Canada’s new emissions cap, its limited effect on Canadian oil stocks, and expectations under a potential conservative government.
  • Oil Demand & Inventories: An update on global oil inventories at seasonal lows, the outlook for record oil demand, and projected supply growth for 2025.
  • China’s Oil Demand: Recent commentary from Saudi Aramco regarding an uptick in Chinese oil demand and the impact on global consumption.
  • Outlook for 2025: Eric’s forecast on non-OPEC supply growth, bearish sentiment, and OPEC’s ongoing effectiveness in managing market volatility.

Historical Commentary

View All
  • Ninepoint Energy Market Update
    Eric reviews the key energy trends from 2024 and his insights on what lies ahead for 2025.
    Sector Investments
  • Ninepoint Energy Market Update
    Eric breaks down the latest developments from the postponed OPEC meeting and explains why their decisions are a game-changer for global oil markets.
    Sector Investments
  • Ninepoint Energy Market Update
    Eric Nuttall dives into the latest developments shaping the oil and gas sector. From potential tariffs on Canadian oil to the deferred OPEC+ meeting and the outlook for U.S. shale production.
    Sector Investments
  • Ninepoint Energy Market Update
    Eric Nuttall dives into the natural gas market, exploring its impressive 10% surge and the factors driving its growth. From increasing power demand fueled by AI and data centers to the challenges of decarbonization and the ongoing expansion of U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) capacity, Eric provides a detailed breakdown of the key trends shaping the energy landscape.
    Sector Investments
  • Ninepoint Energy Market Update
    Despite historic lows in global oil inventories and record-high demand, the energy market remains clouded by concerns about future balances in 2025. In this episode, Eric breaks down the forces behind these dynamics and provides insight into what may lie ahead for energy markets.
    Sector Investments
  • Ninepoint Energy Market Update
    This week, Eric Nuttall covers crucial events impacting oil prices, from geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran to the upcoming US election and potential outcomes under a Trump or Harris presidency. Eric discusses how global oil supply and demand could be influenced by US foreign policies, specifically regarding sanctions on Iran and Russia.
    Sector Investments
  • Ninepoint Energy Market Update
    In this weekly update, Eric Nuttall, Senior Portfolio Manager of Ninepoint Energy Strategy, breaks down the latest events in the global energy markets. He discusses how geopolitical tensions, particularly between Israel and Iran, are causing uncertainty among energy investors, who remain in a holding pattern awaiting potential impacts on oil supply. Eric also examines the potential influence of the upcoming U.S. election on energy policies, with a focus on sanctions against Iran, which could remove up to 1.5 million barrels per day from the market.
    Sector Investments