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Ninepoint Energy Market Update

Ninepoint Energy Market Update - 10.31.2024
Key Takeaways
  • Trump’s energy policies and Iran sanctions may reduce Iranian exports and impact U.S. shale production.
  • OPEC+ is carefully managing production cuts to stabilize global oil supply.
  • Canada’s emissions cap likely has limited impact on oil stocks, with changes possible under a conservative government.
  • Oil inventories are low with record demand expected, but non-OPEC supply growth could pressure the market by 2025.
  • Rising oil demand from China could drive global consumption higher, impacting near-term market dynamics.

Nov 7, 2024:

In this week's update, Eric discusses the potential impact of the recent Trump presidency on global oil markets, OPEC’s upcoming decisions, and Canada’s new emissions cap. 

Key Topics:

  • Trump's Presidency & Oil Markets: The anticipated effect of Trump’s energy policies on U.S. shale production, foreign oil sources, and sanctions on Iranian oil exports.
  • Iran Sanctions: Predicted decrease in Iranian oil exports due to Trump’s strict sanctions policy, potentially tightening the global oil market.
  • OPEC+ Strategies: Insights on OPEC's recent decision to defer the return of voluntary production cuts and their approach to balancing global supply.
  • Canadian Emissions Cap: Analysis of Canada’s new emissions cap, its limited effect on Canadian oil stocks, and expectations under a potential conservative government.
  • Oil Demand & Inventories: An update on global oil inventories at seasonal lows, the outlook for record oil demand, and projected supply growth for 2025.
  • China’s Oil Demand: Recent commentary from Saudi Aramco regarding an uptick in Chinese oil demand and the impact on global consumption.
  • Outlook for 2025: Eric’s forecast on non-OPEC supply growth, bearish sentiment, and OPEC’s ongoing effectiveness in managing market volatility.

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