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Ninepoint Energy Market Update

Ninepoint Energy Market Update - 3.6.2025
Key Takeaways
  • U.S. Tariffs on Canadian Oil – A 10% tariff = 15-20 cent per gallon increase at U.S. pumps, hitting $20B+ in consumer spending.
  • Why Tariffs Won’t Last – Inflationary pressure and lack of oil alternatives make this politically unsustainable.
  • Pipeline Expansion Now a National Priority – Growing momentum behind West Coast & East Coast expansion to reduce U.S. dependency.
  • Stock Market Carnage = Opportunity – Despite oil prices holding steady, energy stock valuations have collapsed.

March 6, 2025

This week, Eric Nuttall, Senior Portfolio Manager of Ninepoint Energy Strategies breaks down the immediate impact on gasoline prices, investor sentiment, and energy stocks while explaining why the long-term outlook remains bullish for Canadian oil & gas companies.

Key Topics Covered:

  • U.S. Tariffs on Canadian Oil – A 10% tariff = 15-20 cent per gallon increase at U.S. pumps, hitting $20B+ in consumer spending.
  • Why Tariffs Won’t Last – Inflationary pressure and lack of oil alternatives make this politically unsustainable.
  • Pipeline Expansion Now a National Priority – Growing momentum behind West Coast & East Coast expansion to reduce U.S. dependency.
  • Stock Market Carnage = Opportunity – Despite oil prices holding steady, energy stock valuations have collapsed.
  • OPEC+ Supply Adjustments – Market misreads production adjustments; OPEC+ remains flexible to price conditions.
  • Shale Decline is Real – U.S. shale growth is slowing dramatically, with production flattening near break-even oil prices.
  • Investor Sentiment vs. Reality – The disconnect between fundamentals and market perception has created deep-value opportunities.
  • Canadian Energy Stocks: The Best Risk-Reward? – Many companies now trade at 12-19% free cash flow yields, with aggressive share buybacks in play.
  • Natural Gas Outlook – Potential supply crunch in 2025 could send prices soaring.

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