Ninepoint Focused Global Dividend Class

July 2018 Commentary

Year-to-date to July 31, the Ninepoint Focused Global Dividend Class generated a total return of 7.62% compared to the S&P Global 1200 Index, which generated a total return of 7.25%.

Returns in the month of July were good on both an absolute and relative basis, with the Fund generating a total return of 2.42% while the benchmark generated a total return of 2.17%. Despite fears of a global trade war, earnings growth in the second quarter was outstanding, with growth coming in at approximately 23% year over year (for those companies reporting positive earnings). The Health Care, Industrials and Financials sectors outperformed while the Real Estate, Consumer Discretionary and Energy sectors underperformed over the course of the month.

Admittedly, we are later in the economic and investment cycle but we believe that it is too early to position for an outright downturn. The economic data remains robust and, broadly speaking, earnings growth will be exceptional through the balance of 2018. Further, current expectations for 2019 are calling for another year of double digit earnings growth.

Our modelling indicates that the Canadian dollar should continue to weaken in 2018. Because a resolution to the ongoing NAFTA negotiations is looking less likely in the near term, we have closed out our currency hedging, returning to a neutral positioning relative to our benchmark.

Top contributors to the year-to-date performance of the Ninepoint Focused Global Dividend Class included Mastercard (+147 bps), Microsoft (+132 bps) and Visa (+101 bps). Top detractors year-to-date included Brookfield Asset Management (-46 bps), MGM Resorts International (-40 bps) and Affiliated Managers Group (-30 bps).

Thermo Fisher (TMO US), one of our long-time favourites, reported another fantastic quarter on July 25. Revenue of $6,078 million grew 22% year over year (8% organic, 12% from acquisitions and 2% from currency translation) and beat expectations by 3%, EBITDA of $1,533 million grew 22% year over year and beat expectations by 5% and adjusted EPS of $2.75 grew 20% year over year and beat expectations by 5%. To reflect the strong performance, management raised 2018 revenue guidance to a new range of $23.68 to $23.86 billion (implying 13% to 14% revenue growth over 2017) and adjusted EPS guidance to a new range of $10.89 to $11.01 (implying 15% to 16% growth over 2017). Because of the strength of the Company’s global competitive positioning, TMO was able to deliver strong growth in Asia-Pacific and emerging markets, including China. In the release, management said it best, “Conditions across our end markets globally were strong and our team executed well to capture the opportunities for growth”.

The Ninepoint Focused Global Dividend Class was concentrated in 28 positions as at July 31, 2018 with the top 10 holdings accounting for approximately 42.8% of the fund. Over the past year, 24 out of our 28 holdings have announced a dividend increase, with an average hike of 18.8%. We will continue to apply a disciplined investment process, balancing various quality and valuation metrics, in an effort to generate solid risk-adjusted returns.

Jeffrey Sayer, CFA

 

1 All returns and fund details are a) based on Series F shares; b) net of fees; c) annualized if period is greater than one year; d) as at July 31, 2018; e) 2015 annual returns are from 11/25/15 to 12/31/15. 

The Fund is generally exposed to the following risks. See the prospectus of the Fund for a description of these risks: ADR risk; Capital depletion risk; Capital gains risk; Class risk; Credit risk; Currency risk; Cybersecurity risk; Derivatives risk; Exchange traded funds risk; Foreign investment risk; In ation risk; Interest rate risk; Liquidity risk; Market risk; Securities lending, repurchase and reverse repurchase transactions risk; Series risk; Short selling risk; Speci c issuer risk; Tax risk.

Ninepoint Partners LP is the investment manager to the Ninepoint Funds (collectively, the “Funds”). Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees, performance fees (if any), and other expenses all may be associated with investing in the Funds. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing. The indicated rate of return for series F shares of the Fund for the period ended July 31, 2018 is based on the historical annual compounded total return including changes in share value and reinvestment of all distributions and does not take into account sales, redemption, distribution or optional charges or income taxes payable by any unitholder that would have reduced returns. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. The information contained herein does not constitute an offer or solicitation by anyone in the United States or in any other jurisdiction in which such an offer or solicitation is not authorized or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation. Prospective investors who are not resident in Canada should contact their financial advisor to determine whether securities of the Fund may be lawfully sold in their jurisdiction.

The opinions, estimates and projections (“information”) contained within this report are solely those of Ninepoint Partners LP and are subject to change without notice. Ninepoint Partners makes every effort to ensure that the information has been derived from sources believed to be reliable and accurate. However, Ninepoint Partners assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages, whether direct or indirect, which arise out of the use of this information. Ninepoint Partners is not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. The information should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. Please contact your own personal advisor on your particular circumstances. Views expressed regarding a particular company, security, industry or market sector should not be considered an indication of trading intent of any investment funds managed by Ninepoint Partners LP. Any reference to a particular company is for illustrative purposes only and should not to be considered as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell nor should it be considered as an indication of how the portfolio of any investment fund managed by Ninepoint Partners LP is or will be invested. Ninepoint Partners LP and/ or its affiliates may collectively beneficially own/control 1% or more of any class of the equity securities of the issuers mentioned in this report. Ninepoint Partners LP and/or its affiliates may hold short position in any class of the equity securities of the issuers mentioned in this report. During the preceding 12 months, Ninepoint Partners LP and/or its affiliates may have received remuneration other than normal course investment advisory or trade execution services from the issuers mentioned in this report.

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